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Surprise Running Weather

Monday, October 19, 2026 · Hour-by-hour forecast updated 12:13 AM MST

Best Time to Run in Surprise Today

5 AM–10 AM

64°F and clear at peak. Wind 4 mph from the NNW, dew point 49°F.

100
Peak FitScore
Temperature
64°F / feels 62°
Wind
4 mph NNW, gusts 5
Dew Point
49°F — comfortable
Humidity
59%
UV Index
0 — Low
Air Quality
50 AQI — Good

Hourly running conditions

🌙 5 AM
100
64° feels 62° 4 mph NNW 2% rain
🌅 6 AM
100
64° feels 61° 5 mph NNW 2% rain
☀️ 7 AM
100
64° feels 62° 4 mph NNW 2% rain
☀️ 8 AM
97
68° feels 66° 4 mph N 2% rain
☀️ 9 AM
85
75° feels 74° 3 mph NE 2% rain
☀️ 10 AM
80
80° feels 78° 4 mph ESE 2% rain
☀️ 11 AM
70
83° feels 83° 4 mph SE 1% rain
☀️ 12 PM
62
86° feels 87° 3 mph SSE 1% rain
☀️ 1 PM
60
87° feels 89° 3 mph S 1% rain
☀️ 2 PM
63
88° feels 87° 4 mph SSW 1% rain
☀️ 3 PM
63
88° feels 87° 4 mph SW 1% rain
☀️ 4 PM
70
88° feels 85° 7 mph SW 1% rain
80–100 Excellent 60–79 Good 40–59 Fair Below 40 Poor

7-day running forecast

☁️
Today Oct 19
88° / 63°
100
🏃 5 AM–10 AM
☁️
Tue Oct 20
89° / 67°
100
🏃 5 AM–10 AM
🌧️
Wed Oct 21
80° / 72°
68
🏃 Rain likely all day 💧 71%
🌧️
Thu Oct 22
83° / 70°
62
🏃 9 AM–12 PM 💧 69%
☀️
Fri Oct 23
79° / 66°
89
🏃 9 AM–12 PM
☀️
Sat Oct 24
85° / 67°
83
🏃 6–9 AM
🌧️
Sun Oct 25
89° / 71°
73
🏃 6–9 AM

Running conditions by month

Running in Surprise peaks twice a year — April (FitScore 98) and November (98) — with typical morning lows of 60°F and 52°F respectively. August brings dry heat — average highs of 104°F with dew points only around 57°F — holding the month to a FitScore of 56 outside the early-morning window. Across the full year, Surprise ranks #51 of 200 U.S. running cities, with an annual FitScore of 87 (national median: 74). Conditions stay runnable nearly year-round, with 10 months scoring 70 or better.

Jan
95
65° / 43° dew 34° 3.5 rain days
Feb
96
70° / 46° dew 31° 2.7 rain days
Mar
97
76° / 52° dew 32° 2.4 rain days
Apr Best
98
86° / 60° dew 27° 0.4 rain days
May
97
92° / 67° dew 31° 0.5 rain days
Jun
83
104° / 78° dew 37° 0.5 rain days
Jul
57
106° / 84° dew 54° 2.6 rain days
Aug
56
104° / 83° dew 57° 2.5 rain days
Sep
75
99° / 76° dew 49° 2 rain days
Oct Now
95
88° / 64° dew 39° 1.4 rain days
Nov
98
76° / 52° dew 32° 1.4 rain days
Dec
96
66° / 44° dew 31° 2.7 rain days

Based on 2015–2024 daily weather history (Open-Meteo ERA5), scored against 200 U.S. cities. Monthly FitScore reflects each day’s best running window.

Get Surprise's forecast every evening

Stop checking the weather. Start laying out your gear.

FitCast texts you tomorrow's hour-by-hour forecast every evening so you know exactly what to expect before your alarm goes off.

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FC
FitCast
iMessage
🌤 Tomorrow in Surprise: Best window: 9–11 AM (FitScore 95) 6am: 48°F, feels 45° — NW 8mph 9am: 58°F, feels 56° — W 12mph 12pm: 66°F, feels 65° — SW 8mph ☔ Rain likely after 3pm.
Yesterday 8:14 PM Nightly

Surprise running weather FAQ

What's the best time to run in Surprise today?

Based on today's FitScore analysis, the best time to run is 5 AM–10 AM with a peak FitScore of 100/100. Check the hourly breakdown above for detailed conditions throughout the day.

What months are best for running in Surprise?

The best months for running in Surprise are April, November, and March, with average FitScores of 98, 98, and 97 based on a decade of daily weather history. The most challenging is August (FitScore 56).

Is October a good month to run in Surprise?

Historically, October in Surprise averages a FitScore of 95/100 — excellent running weather — with highs around 88°F, lows around 64°F, dew points near 39°F, and 1.4 days of measurable rain. That's above the national median of 86 for October.

What is the FitScore?

FitScore rates each hour from 0–100 for outdoor exercise based on temperature, humidity, dew point, wind, precipitation probability, UV index, and air quality. Higher scores mean better conditions.

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